2023 NFL Quarterback Mock Draft: Anthony Richardson, Will Levis continue to crack the top 10

2023 NFL Quarterback Mock Draft: Anthony Richardson, Will Levis continue to crack the top 10


• Anthony Richardson goes to Atlanta at No. 8: While the Falcons do have 2022 draft pick Desmond Ridder in the fold, Richardson makes too much sense if he falls to Atlanta.

• Panthers’ choice at No. 1 still a mystery: Many have Alabama’s Bryce Young as the top 2023 quarterback prospect, but Carolina goes with C.J. Stroud in this mock.

• Lions address the future with Tanner McKee: Detroit uses the No. 81 pick on the Stanford product, who would be entering Year 3 when Jared Goff’s contract expires.

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If you haven’t heard, the 2023 NFL Draft features quite the quarterback class. Four quarterbacks are in the top 10 on the PFF draft board, and two more are in the top 100. Come draft day, I fully expect Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, Will Levis and Anthony Richardson to be top-10 picks, while Hendon Hooker and Tanner McKee will likely come off the board on Day 2.

Here’s how I see the class playing out on draft day.


Pick No. 1: Carolina PanthersC.J. Stroud, Ohio State

Who exactly the Panthers intend to draft is still anybody’s guess. There being reports of them still trying to wheel and deal the No. 1 overall pick, however, suggests that they may not intend to draft the quarterback who sits atop the PFF board — and almost every other media board — in Bryce Young.

Stroud makes sense as a safer bet for a team in search of a franchise quarterback. He possesses easily the best fundamentals of any of the top quarterbacks and brings a high floor with the accuracy he showed at Ohio State (highest on-target rate of any quarterback in the class last year).


Pick No. 2: Houston TexansBryce Young, Alabama

Young is exactly the kind of franchise-changing personality the Texans have been looking for since the Deshaun Watson saga went down. His underdog mentality despite his pedigree — a five-star recruit and the quarterback of one of the most successful high school programs ever and one of the most successful college programs ever — is the exact kind of crazy that makes the elites the elites. His 93.0 passing grade over the past two seasons was the highest in college football.


Pick No. 4: Indianapolis ColtsWill Levis, Kentucky

The Colts are in an interesting spot where they are getting at best the QB3 in the class, but at the same time they need to start that player immediately. So in a debate between two toolsy quarterbacks, Levis laps Anthony Richardson in terms of NFL readiness. That’s not surprising given who Levis was coached by (former Rams offensive coordinator Liam Coen and former Broncos offensive coordinator Rich Scangarello) and his age (turns 24 in June).

Levis finished fourth in the country last year in passing yards under pressure from the pocket (707), which will serve him well behind the rebuilding Colts offensive line.


Pick No. 8: Atlanta FalconsAnthony Richardson, Florida

If any coach is going to appreciate Richardson’s awe-inspiring dynamism, it’s the one who schemed the run-heaviest offense in the NFL last season. The Falcons’ 50.8% run rate last year was 3.3 percentage points clear of the Bears for the top spot. And that was with a relatively modest rushing threat in Marcus Mariota at the helm. Now imagine what that would look like with a 6-foot-4, 244-pounder who runs a 4.43-second 40-yard dash running the show. That’s definitely something that Arthur Smith would be into even if the Falcons still have last year’s third-round quarterback, Desmond Ridder, in the fold.


Pick No. 68: Denver BroncosHendon Hooker, Tennessee

While the Broncos are tied to Russell Wilson contractually for at least the next two seasons, that doesn’t mean they can’t give themselves other options. Hooker possesses some similar play style elements to Wilson in his mobility and glorious deep-ball touch. It would be a perfect situation for Hooker to develop for a couple of years under Sean Payton while letting the Wilson experiment run its course, especially considering Hooker may not even be available as a rookie after his ACL tear.


Pick No. 81: Detroit LionsTanner McKee, Stanford

The Lions and general manager Brad Holmes have a franchise-defining draft in front of them, holding pick Nos. 6, 18, 48, 55 and 81. The big question will be what to do at quarterback. On one hand, Jared Goff is only 29 years old and had a tremendous bounce-back season in Year 2 with the Lions. On the other hand, we’ve seen this story play out before with Goff and the Rams (and his cap hits are more than $30 million in each of the next two years).

The crux will be the sixth overall pick. Detroit was gifted it with the Rams bottoming out this season, and they may be in position to secure one of the top four quarterbacks in the class with it. The sixth pick could also net them a blue-chip defender for a unit in desperate need. At that point, there are not five starting spots available for their five top-100 picks and the roster becomes far too good to realistically be in the mix for next year’s quarterback class. 

McKee would make sense for the Lions in that he plays the position similarly to Goff and shouldn’t have much of a learning curve with the NFL readiness he showed at Stanford. He is not only a cheap insurance option this season, but he’ll also be entering the vaunted Year 3 of his rookie deal when Goff’s contract is set to expire.



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Dynasty Twitter Observations: Ezekiel Elliott Moves on, Aaron Rodgers Wants to

Dynasty Twitter Observations: Ezekiel Elliott Moves on, Aaron Rodgers Wants to


Between free agency and trades and draft talk, there is no shortage of news and developments that will affect dynasty leagues next season. Below are a few recent tweets along with the reaction they got.

Zeke Show

A longtime favorite of Cowboys owner Jerry Jones, Ezekiel Elliott looked like he might be a Cowboy for life. Drafted fourth overall in the 2016 NFL Draft, he made the Pro Bowl in three of his first four seasons. And it was just a couple of seasons ago that Elliott held out for an extension he eventually signed. Then the proverbial wheels came off. He’s averaged a mediocre 4.0 yards per carry over the last three seasons. He has averaged over nine rushing touchdowns per season in that same span but it can be argued that the Cowboys were giving him an inordinate amount of carries.

Luckily for Dallas, they had a replacement already waiting in the wings. Tony Pollard was drafted in the fourth round of the 2019 NFL Draft – not long before Elliott held out for his extension – and gradually won the title of the best Cowboys running back. He owns a 5.1 yards-per-carry average and is coming off his best season with nine rushing touchdowns over 1,000 rushing yards. It didn’t take long into the 2022 season for Pollard to take over when it came to dynasty value.

Between Pollard’s ascension and Elliott’s decline, it made sense for Dallas to roll with Pollard.

Dynasty Impact: Rarely do the fantasy community and Jerry Jones have anything in common but they did in their opinion of Elliott. While it was obvious on the field, it’s still surprising Jones moved on.

This guarantees Pollard will be the man in Dallas in 2024. In addition to cutting Elliott (who could still come back, albeit at a lower price), the Cowboys franchise tagged Pollard which means he automatically is one of the highest-paid running backs in the game this season.

Perhaps the biggest question for Pollard and the Cowboys is how much they lean on him. He totaled nearly 200 carries but Elliott had 231 himself. If they do ramp up Pollard – who tore his ACL in the playoffs – how much more can he take on while still producing at the same level? Dallas we certainly add depth but it may not be enough to supplement Pollard in the way Pollard did for Elliott.

As for Elliott, he now joins a long list of free-agent running backs who would be lucky to find a team that would use him for half the usage he was used to. You can safely move on from him in your dynasty leagues.

Jet Stream

Emerging from the darkness, Aaron Rodgers finally confirmed what many had assumed – he wants to be a Jet. Trade compensation is holding up the deal being finalized but it appears we are past the point of no return. For Rodgers, he seemed antsy to get out of Green Bay and go somewhere where he would feel appreciated. For the Packers, the clock on Jordan Love‘s rookie contract is winding down and it was time to cash in before it was too late.

But the biggest beneficiaries have to be the Jets’ position players, specifically two young players that shined despite the mediocre quarterback play they had to deal with. Running back Breece Hall was widely considered to be the top running back in 2022 and looked like it before a torn ACL wiped out his rookie season. In just seven games, Hall racked up 681 total yards and five touchdowns. His 5.8 yards-per-carry average was especially impressive and was a good sign. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson was just as impressive and stayed healthy all season, recording 83 receptions and 1,103 receiving yards on his way to being named Offensive Rookie of the Year.

The (apparent) arrival of Rodgers will only ramp up expectations from these two.

Dynasty Impact: While both Hall and Wilson should benefit from Rodgers under center, they are on very different paths when it comes to dynasty value. For Wilson, he might be the most hyped receiver this off-season. Coming off an impressive rookie campaign, the former tenth overall pick will assume the Davante Adams role when it comes to Aaron Rodgers’s favorite target. The expectations will, and in some ways already are, sky high and his dynasty cost will reflect that.

Hall is different. As a running back, he won’t be a direct beneficiary but a better offense will certainly help its lead running back. Additionally, Hall is coming back from a torn ACL, and while it’s iffy if he’ll be ready for week one of the 2023 season, his long-term value is solid even if he only gets to play with Rodgers for a season or two. He would be the one to target not because he’ll be more valuable than Wilson but because he should come at a much cheaper asking price.

Bears Down

Khalil Herbert dynasty managers had their hopes of a workhorse role in 2023 dashed when the Bears signed free agent D’Onta Foreman. Foreman is coming off his best season as a pro when he totaled over 900 rushing yards with most of it coming after week six when the Panthers finally moved on from Christian McCaffrey. He also managed five 100-yard rushing games in just 11 games. And while he’ll be entering his sith profession season and will be 27, he has plenty of tread left on these tires. An Achilles injury early in his career prevented a lot of build-up; the 203 carries he had in 2021 were almost 50% of his total career carries.

Dynasty Impact: While the signing of Foreman may be good news for the Bears and their offense, it’s sure to create a fantasy situation as clear as mud. Herbert was coming off his best season as well which means the Bears have two running backs who are ascending.

Both Foreman and Herbert are on relatively cheap deals, so Chicago has no obligation to play one over the other. They’re both also low-cost when it comes to dynasty purposes. Using our DLF Trade Analyzer, Herbert is not even worth a first-rounder when it comes to rookie picks. Herbert has more dynasty value because he’s younger but both would be a good, inexpensive addition to your dynasty team this year.

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Dynasty Fantasy Football Impact: Brandin Cooks traded to Dallas

Dynasty Fantasy Football Impact: Brandin Cooks traded to Dallas


Considering just how good Brandin Cooks has been throughout his career, it’s surprising he’s of the more well-traveled receivers in the league. After voicing his extreme displeasure over being part of a rudderless Texans franchise in a post-Deshaun Watson era, Cooks requested a trade last year – a request that was ultimately left ungranted. However, he finally got his wish this morning as the speedy receiver was traded to Dallas in exchange for a fifth-round pick in 2023 and a sixth-round pick in 2024. The Cowboys get the receiving help they needed and the Texans will continue to rebuild around what is bound to be a rookie quarterback next season. Let’s reset the dynasty value landscape after this long-anticipated deal.

Brandin Cooks, WR DAL

Over his nine seasons in the NFL, Cooks has made stops in New Orleans, New England, Los Angeles (Rams), and Houston. He’s been productive at every spot, posting 630 career catches for 8,616 receiving yards, and 49 touchdowns, showing a capability to make big plays along the way. Dallas is now getting a proven veteran receiver with six different 1,000-yard seasons and also one used to being not just a WR2 (as he will be in Dallas), but as a team’s top target. In short, this looks like a pretty solid addition.

There are some risks in dynasty leagues and for Dallas moving forward, First, Cooks will turn 30 prior to the season and for someone who relies on his long speed, that’s an issue. Second, and more importantly, Cooks has had no fewer than five documented concussions and there are legitimate concerns over his long-term health.

If Cooks can stay healthy, he looks poised to have a nice season moving forward. While he likely won’t get the 100+ targets he’s used, Dak Prescott is more than capable of keeping him viable as a fantasy option and Prescott’s value should be solidified with this as well. While Cooks is not likely to be a weekly starter in fantasy leagues, he should be a pretty solid bye-week fill-in at the very least. If CeeDee Lamb was to ever miss time, Cooks could be a dominant player in this offense, too. His ADP should stop suffering from this point forward.

 

CeeDee Lamb, WR DAL

Lamb has made steady progress in each of his three seasons in the league, culminating with a 107/1,359/9 season last year that’s moved him squarely into the conversation of “top five dynasty asset.” The addition of Cooks really shouldn’t affect him too much. In fact, Cooks should help shield him from teams that used to roll massive coverage his way and attempt to double-team him. Lamb has finally broken through and there’s little chance of him regressing because Cooks is in the fold now. Your time to buy on Lamb has passed.

Michael Gallup, WR DAL

Hmm. Gallup returned from a torn ACL last season and simply didn’t look the same player. In 14 games played, he posted just 39 catches for 424 yards and four touchdowns. We really haven’t seen greatness from him since his magical 2019 season and while it usually takes a full season to recover from an ACL tear, patience was clearly wearing thin with him in Dallas. The addition of Gallup is more than likely going to eat into his targets and while there’s still hope he can return to form, this move isn’t great for his dynasty value. While Dallas isn’t exactly throwing in the towel on Gallup, they’re at least looking for it in the laundry room.

DeAndre Hopkins, WR ARI

The Cardinals have been rumored to be shopping Hopkins this off-season and the Cowboys were easily the most rumored destination. With the addition of Cooks, it looks like that’s just not going to happen. Hopkins is still likely to be dealt, but Dallas would have been a pretty exciting destination. We’ll hold tight on changing his value until we see what happens.

Odell Beckham, WR FA

Speaking of rumored receivers in Dallas, we now get to Beckham, who reportedly had a pretty impressive workout for teams last week. Dallas had long been rumored to be the most interested in him, but it seems that just isn’t going to work out. At this point, it really looks like OBJ could join Aaron Rodgers in New York.

Robert Woods, WR HOU

In Houston, the newly signed Woods suddenly finds himself in a pretty good spot when it comes to targets. With the Texans inevitably going with a rookie quarterback and likely trailing in a lot of football games next season, Woods could see a pretty good usage rate. He’s been a bit of a disaster the past two seasons, but he looks like a decent addition for contending teams next season. Remember, this is a player who was a staple in dynasty lineups not that long ago. He’s aging, but this is a pretty good opportunity for him in 2023.

Nico Collins, WR HOU

Free Nico! With Cooks out of the way, Collins looks poised to take another step forward this upcoming season. After a solid Sophomore season featuring a 37/481/2 line, we could see a pretty solid third year leap coming from Collins, who is a sneaky good pickup in dynasty leagues. It really wouldn’t be a shock to see Collins end up being the Texans’ top target next season, pending what they do in the NFL Draft and the rest of free agency.

John Metchie, Noah Brown, WRs HOU

Dynasty owners shouldn’t forget about these two. Metchie’s future is really unknown after he battled leukemia last season. Brown showed some flashes last year as well. With Cooks out of the way, both of these players should see an uptick in value.

Ken Kelly
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PrizePicks NBA Top Plays for Today 3/19/23 – Prop Style DFS

PrizePicks NBA Top Plays for Today 3/19/23 – Prop Style DFS


DFS Army’s Sniper takes a look at the best NBA prop bets on PrizePicks for DFS NBA today, 3/19/2023.

PrizePicks Winning Prop Plays From March 13…

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DFS NASCAR Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Breakdown Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel

DFS NASCAR Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Breakdown Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel


DFS Army’s Kevin “Geek” Alan and Taco breakdown the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta race for DraftKings and FanDuel. Join Today

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2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Prospect: Sean Tucker, RB Syracuse

2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Prospect: Sean Tucker, RB Syracuse


Our NFL rookie profile series continues with this analysis of 2023 NFL Draft Prospect Sean Tucker, RB from Syracuse. We will continue to provide you with these in-depth rookie profiles and a ton of other fantasy football rookie analysis right up through the NFL Draft. Stay tuned and stay ahead of your league.

Sean Tucker is a very electric running back prospect with a strong production profile. He is one of the top running backs in a deep running back class. He has the potential to be a cornerstone asset to your dynasty team. All we need to do is wait and see where he goes in the NFL Draft. In the right situation, he could be one of the top running backs in all of dynasty.

THE STATS

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Courtesy of Sports Reference.

Tucker led Syracuse in rushing during his initial freshman season. He had three 100-yard games. His best game came against Georgia Tech when he rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns. He owned a 25.33 percent market share of the team’s total offensive output. If Syracuse would have been able to play a full season, there’s a good chance he would have eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark.

The breakout officially happened the following year. He finished the season ranked sixth in rushing and had nine 100-yard rushing performances. He averaged 4.11 yards after contact per attempt with 1,014 total yards after contact. He had big performances against Clemson, Wake Forest, North Carolina, and Boston College. At this point in his career, the only question we had about his production profile was his usage in the passing game.

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